A highway water and soil conservation project in East China
2017-07-27 Editor: Mall website
Exports in dollar terms grew by 8.7% in May, an increase of 0.7 percentage points over April. The industry believes that the recent emerging market economies as a whole for the better, developed economies running smoothly, exports pilot index and export managers index rose to major trade partners in China outside of Hongkong export growth is good.
Considering the national economic recovery and mutual driven, periodic repair demand in emerging markets and exports in the second half year of base uplift and other factors, China Merchants Securities analyst Xie Yaxuan macroeconomic export growth is expected in the three quarter may be slightly down, but the second half of the exports will be flat dimension of steady growth, the growth rate of 6% year-on-year in 2017.
Lian Ping, chief economist at Bank of communications, believes that exports are still in trouble, but this year's export situation is expected to be better than in the past two years. Sino US trade talks are uncertain because of the new trade deal imposed by US President Trump and the replacement of multilateral trade agreements by bilateral trade talks. The recent BDI index fell from more than 1200 points in April to 820 in early June, indicating that international market demand may have weakened and exports remained hidden. Therefore, do not rule out the emergence of export growth fluctuations in the future within half a year, there are still some months of negative growth, but this year the overall export situation is getting better.
Huatai macro Li Chao believes that exports increased slightly, but the leading indicators have dropped. Since the two quarter U.S. economic data is still weak, commodity prices to repair entering the platform, the May Morgan Global trade leading index dropped significantly, means that the increase in Global trade to weaken the possibility in the future, from the look, maintain a medium-term strategy of "export repair dull" judgment.
